Do Americans think AI is smarter than Donald Trump?

Is AI currently able to think better or worse than the average person? Americans are split, a recent YouGov survey finds: 33% say AI is better and 29% say it’s worse, for a net difference of +4. Another 25% say AI and the average human are about the same in their ability to think.

But the “average” human covers a lot of variability. Americans say AI is better at thinking than the average college professor by a 1-point margin (30% vs. 29%), and that it’s better than the average computer programmer by 2 points. But far more Americans say AI thinks better than the average toddler (+45), elementary school student (+40), and high school student (+27).

While Americans say by a 4-point margin that AI is better at thinking than humans rather than worse, they say AI is better than Democrats by a 13-point margin and better than Republicans by a 15-point margin. That reflects partisan differences: Democrats are much more likely to say AI is smarter than Republicans than to say it’s smarter than Democrats, and vice versa. And in both cases people are more down on the intelligence of members of the other party than they are up on the intelligence of their own party.

YouGov also asked Americans to compare AI’s thinking ability with that of well-known public figures, including politicians, celebrities, and a few people famous for being smart, including Jeopardy! Champion Ken Jennings and astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson. We also asked respondents how “you” compare to AI in thinking ability, rounding out the 14 options.

Tyson is the poll’s only option for whom more Americans say AI is worse than better at thinking: 23% say AI is better than him at thinking and 27% say it is worse at thinking. About each of the other 13 people asked about, more Americans say they are worse at thinking than AI than say they are better.

Americans are particularly likely to say AI is better at thinking than several current and recent presidents and vice presidents. 52% say AI is better at thinking than Donald Trump, while only 19% say AI is worse than Trump. Americans come to a similar conclusion about AI and Joe Biden (51% vs. 17%). Kamala Harris (45% vs. 22%) and JD Vance (43% vs. 19%) also trail AI in perceived reasoning abilities. Barack Obama has a slightly smaller gap, with 37% saying AI is better at thinking than Obama and 27% saying AI is worse than Obama.

These views also reflect partisan differences. Overall, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say AI is better at thinking than most of the figures. The only exceptions are the Republican figures Trump, Vance, and Elon Musk: Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say AI is better at thinking than each of the trio. But Republicans are still more likely to say AI is better than worse at thinking than all but one of the figures: Musk. For Democrats, that’s true for all but Obama, Tyson, and Bill Gates.

Republicans are more likely than Democrats to use AI and to think its effects on society will be positive.

YouGov asked Americans to compare AI to humans in several different areas of reasoning. Many say AI is better than humans at answering questions that require factual knowledge (44% say AI is better and 18% say AI is worse). Americans are more divided over how AI compares to people in handling questions that require complex reasoning (33% vs. 28%), and are less likely to favor AI rather than people at answering questions that require creativity (25% vs. 37%).

For each of the three types of reasoning asked about, Americans who say they use AI a lot themselves are more likely than those who rarely or never use it to say AI is better than humans.

Fauci: 37% of Americans — including 65% of Democrats, 32% of Independents, and 15% of Republicans — have a very or somewhat favorable opinion of Anthony Fauci
Jury duty: If called for jury duty, 34% of Americans would prefer to serve on a jury and 44% would prefer not to serve
Nursing drinks: 44% of Americans say nursing homes and assisted-living facilities should be allowed to serve alcohol to residents at social events, and 31% say they shouldn’t
Legal expenses: Only 7% of Americans say elected officials and political candidates should be allowed to use campaign funds to pay legal expenses to fight sexual-harassment allegations, while 78% say they shouldn’t
Museums: 9% of Americans say the president should have a great deal of influence over the exhibits and programs of federally funded museums, while 20% say the president should have some influence, 19% say not much influence, and 38% no influence at all
Adaptations: When an old book or story is adapted into a new movie, 60% of Americans prefer that the movie stay as close as possible to the original, while 22% prefer that it make some changes while preserving the main story and 4% that it substantially reimagine the original
Groceries: 58% of Americans — including 78% of Democrats, 56% of Independents, and 42% of Republicans — say they definitely or probably would shop at a government-run grocery store with discounted prices
Social media bans: 66% of Americans strongly or somewhat support the U.S. government banning social media use among children under 16, while 20% oppose this
Political chat: 24% of Americans say that very often they have a political discussion in person with someone who has the same political views as theirs, while only 10% say the same about an in-person political discussion with someone with different political views
Unfair treatment: 68% of Black Americans, 53% of Hispanic Americans, and 22% of white Americans say they have ever felt like they were treated unfairly because of their race or ethnicity
Keepsakes: 48% of Americans say they have books from their childhood, while only 13% have their baby teeth and 10% their first shoes
Officewear: 28% of Americans — including 33% of men and 23% of women — would generally consider it to be acceptable for men to wear shorts to the office for work, while 61% would consider it unacceptable