TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BEFORE 3AM, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 3AM AND 5AM, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5AM. PATCHY FOG AFTER 5AM. OTHERWISE, MOSTLY CLOUDY, WITH A LOW AROUND 70. EAST WIND AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING CALM IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS 60%. NEW RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH, EXCEPT HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS. TUESDAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BEFORE 2PM, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 2PM AND 5PM, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5PM. PATCHY FOG BEFORE 10AM. OTHERWISE, MOSTLY CLOUDY, WITH A HIGH NEAR 79. CALM WIND BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS 60%. NEW RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN A QUARTER AND HALF OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. TUESDAY NIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BEFORE 5AM, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY, WITH A LOW AROUND 70. SOUTH WIND 3 TO 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS 60%. NEW RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN A QUARTER AND HALF OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. WEDNESDAY A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM AFTER 5PM. MOSTLY CLOUDY, WITH A HIGH NEAR 86. SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 8 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
Tropical Storm Erin has officially formed in the far eastern Atlantic, just west of the Cape Verde Islands, and is expected to strengthen into a major hurricane in the days ahead.Right now, forecast guidance keeps Erin over open waters through the week. Many computer models favor a turn to the north — a classic “recurve” — that would keep the system away from the U.S. coastline. However, the European model continues to hint at a much closer track, showing a potential brush by the East Coast. The key factor will be Erin’s strength in the near term. If it intensifies quickly, it’s more likely to feel the pull of the steering currents and curve north. But if it remains weaker for longer, it could travel farther west before turning — increasing the chance of getting closer to land.The latest European models delay that strengthening, showing Erin passing uncomfortably close to the Outer Banks before finally curving away. While there’s still plenty of time and uncertainty, the trends bear watching closely over the next several days.Hurricane track:Spaghetti Models:Hurricane stats: Sea Surface Temperatures:
GREENVILLE, S.C. —
Tropical Storm Erin has officially formed in the far eastern Atlantic, just west of the Cape Verde Islands, and is expected to strengthen into a major hurricane in the days ahead.
Right now, forecast guidance keeps Erin over open waters through the week. Many computer models favor a turn to the north — a classic “recurve” — that would keep the system away from the U.S. coastline. However, the European model continues to hint at a much closer track, showing a potential brush by the East Coast.
The key factor will be Erin’s strength in the near term. If it intensifies quickly, it’s more likely to feel the pull of the steering currents and curve north. But if it remains weaker for longer, it could travel farther west before turning — increasing the chance of getting closer to land.
The latest European models delay that strengthening, showing Erin passing uncomfortably close to the Outer Banks before finally curving away. While there’s still plenty of time and uncertainty, the trends bear watching closely over the next several days.
Hurricane track:
Spaghetti Models:
Hurricane stats:
Sea Surface Temperatures:
